Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Three Automated Stock-Trading Agents - UCLA Computer Science

Three Automated Stock-Trading Agents - UCLA Computer ScienceIn Proc. AAMAS Workshop on Agent Mediated Electronic Commerce VI, July 2004. Three Automated Stock-Trading Agents: A Comparative Study Alexander A. Sherstov and Peter Stone The University of Texas at Austin Department of Computer Sciences Austin, TX 78712 USA {sherstov, pstone}@cs.utexas.edu Abstract. This paper documents the development of three autonomous stock- trading agents within the framework of the Penn Exchange Simulator (PXS), a novel stock-trading simulator that takes advantage of electronic crossing net- works to realistically mix agent bids with bids from the real stock market [1]. The three approaches presented take inspiration from reinforcement learning, myopic trading using regression-based price prediction, and market making. These ap- proaches are fully implemented and tested with results reported here, including individual evaluations

using a fixed opponent strategy and a comparative analysis of the strategies in a joint simulation. The market-making strategy described in this paper was the winner in the fall 2003 PLAT live competition and the runner- up in the spring 2004 live competition, exhibiting consistent profitability. The strategy’s performance in the live competitions is presented and analyzed. 1 Introduction Automated stock trading is a burgeoning research area with important practical applica- tions. The advent of the Internet has radically transformed the nature of stock trading in most stock exchanges. Traders can now readily purchase and sell stock from a remote site using Internet-based order submission protocols. Additionally, traders can moni- tor the contents of buy and sell order books in real time using a Web-based interface. The electronic nature of the transactions and the availability of up-to-date order-book data make autonomous stock-trading applications a promising alternative to immediate human involvement. The work reported here was conducted in the Penn Exchange Simulator (PXS), a novel stock-trading simulator that takes advantage of electronic crossing networks to realistically mix agent bids with bids from the real stock market [1]. In preparation for an open live competition, we developed three parameterizable trading agents and defined several instantiations of each strategy. We optimized each agent independently, and then conducted detailed controlled experiments to select the strongest of the three for entry in the live competition. It is important to realize from the outset that this research is primarily an agent study pertaining to the interactions of particular agents in a fixed economy. Although PXS makes a strong and reasonable claim to implementing a realistic simulation of the stock market, the results and conclusions in this paper pertain to test economies includ- ing specific other stock-trading agents. In particular, we do not aim to create strategies that are ready for profitable deployment in the real stock market (otherwise we would likely not be writing this paper!). Rather, this paper makes three main contributions. First, it contributes an empirical methodology for studying and comparing stock-trading agents—individually as well as jointly in a shared economy—in a controlled empiri- cal setting. Second, it implements this methodology to compare three specific trading agents based on reinforcement learning, myopic trading using regression-based price prediction, and market making. Third, this paper contributes detailed specifications of promising strategy designs, one of which vastly outperformed competitor strategies in an open stock-trading competition and exhibited...

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Global Investment Promotion Best Practices 2012 - Investment Climate

Global Investment Promotion Best Practices 2012 - Investment ClimateInvestment Climate l World Bank Group In partnership with Global Investment Promotion Best Practices 2012 Investment ClImate aprIl 2012 Global Investment Promotion Best Practices 2012 Investment Climate l World Bank Group In partnership with © 2012 The World Bank Group 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington D.C., 20433 All rights reserved May 2012 Available online at www.wbginvestmentclimate.org The information included in this work, while based on sources that the World Bank Group considers to be reliable, is not guaranteed as to accuracy and does not purport to be complete. The World Bank Group accepts no responsibility for any consequences of the use of such data. The information in this work is not intended to serve as legal advice. The findings, interpretations,

and conclusions expressed in this work are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Board of Executive Directors of the World Bank or the governments of the countries which they represent. The denominations and geographical names in this publication are used solely for the convenience of the reader and do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the International Finance Corporation, the World Bank, or other affiliates concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city, area, or its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its boundaries or national affiliation. Rights and Permissions The material in this publication is copyrighted. Copying and/or transmitting portions or all of this work without permission may be a violation of applicable law. The World Bank Group encourages dissemination of its work and will normally grant permission to reproduce portions of the work promptly. All queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to the Office of the Publisher, the World Bank, 1818 H Street, NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; telephone 202–522–2422; email: pubrights@worldbank.org About the Investment Climate Department of the World Bank Group The Investment Climate Department of the World Bank Group helps governments implement reforms to improve their business environments and encourage and retain investment, thus fostering competitive markets, growth, and job creation. Funding is provided by the World Bank Group (IFC, MIGA, and the World Bank) and over 15 donor partners working through the multidonor FIAS platform). 1Acknowledgments Acknowledgments The Investment Climate Department wishes to thank ProInvest and the Government of Spain for their support in funding GIPB 2012. GIPB 2012 has been produced by a core team comprising Robert Whyte, Francisco Javier Alvarez Roca, Valeria Di Fiori, Carlos Griffin and Bin Zhai. The Investment Climate Department gratefully acknowledges the contributions of Stephen Fleetwood, DTZ; Douglas Grant, dga Business Development; Rodolfo Guillioli, Development and Planification Director, Real Hotels and Resorts; Steen Holck, Vice President of Controlling Hotels and Resorts, Moevenpick; Mahmud Janmohamed, CEO, Serena Hotels; Andrew McLachlan, Vice President of Business Development, Africa & Indian Ocean Islands, The Rezidor Hotel Group; Angelo Stambules, Senior Vice President, Marriott; Wayne J. Troughton, Chief Executive, HTI Consulting; Trevor Ward, the W Hospitality Group; Reto Wittwer, CEO, Kempinsky Hotels; Carolyn L. Cain, Chief Industry Specialist, IFC; Gabriel EspaƱa, Senior Investment Officer, IFC; and Shaun Mann, Senior Investment Policy Officer, Tourism, Investment Climate...

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Investment Banking and Corporate Finance

Investment Banking and Corporate FinanceH.Keiding: Economics of Banking (Prel.version:August 10) Chapter 9, page 1 Chapter 9 Investment Banking and Corporate Finance 1. Introduction: investment banking In this chapter, we discuss the particular field of activity of a financial intermediary known as investment banking. As mentioned in Chapter 2, investment banking as a specific activity is concerned with the setting up and changing the capital structure of private corporations, dealing with matters of arranging loans, issue of securities, buying or selling of firms. There is a tradition in the US that investment banking should be separated from ordinary (“com- mercial”) banking, going back to the Glass-Seagall act from 1933 but eventually abandoned in 1999. In Europe, investment and commercial banking has traditionally been coexisting in

the financial enterprises. The traditional business of an investment bank is to assist their costumers in raising funds in capital markets and advice them in cases of mergers and acquisitions. Also, the investment bank takes an active part in attracting investors in connection with issuance of securities and possibly negotiating with other firms which may have been singled out for fu- ture mergers. Investment banks often contact potential clients for mergers and acquisitions, and if they are met with interest, carry out the deal for the client. Among other important activities of the investment bank one should mention trading se- curities as well as asset management, and perhaps even more important in recent years, sales of new products in the form of securities created on the basis of other financial assets (cf. the discussion of securitization in Chapter 10). Also, the investment bank o ers consultancy services for costumers who want to invest either directly or in securities, and in connection with this activity, they maintain a department doing financial analysis. Since most of these activities have been or will be commented upon in other contexts, so that we concentrate on those aspects of investment banking that involve direct contact with costumers in connection with capital structure of the firm. In the present chapter as well as the following one, we look closer into corporate finance, which is the field giving rise to business for the investment bank. The subject of this study is capital structure of the firm, ways of attracting capital and types of contracts needed to regulate the behavior of entrepreneurs and investors, and the role of the investment bank in this context. In this chapter, we outline the celebrated Modigliani-Miller theorem about the irrelevance of capital structure; then we turn to some discussion of financial contracting and H.Keiding: Economics of Banking (Prel.version:August 10) Chapter 9, page 2 discuss a simple model of mergers and acquisitions. We then proceed in Chapter 12 with a short treatment of the decision about going public and its implementation. It should be pointed out that in most of what is discussed here, the financial intermediary plays a remote role if any at all; we are dealing in most cases with a non-financial firm which attracts outside capital, not in the form of bank loans but as risk capital. However, the investment bank is not only advising but also assisting in carrying...

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Bank Monitoring and Investment - National Bureau of Economic

Bank Monitoring and Investment - National Bureau of Economic ...This PDF is a selection from an out-of-print volume from the National Bureau of Economic Research Volume Title: Asymmetric Information, Corporate Finance, and Investment Volume Author/Editor: R. Glenn Hubbard, editor Volume Publisher: University of Chicago Press, 1990 Volume ISBN: 0-226-35585-3 Volume URL: http://www.nber.org/books/glen90-1 Conference Date: May 5, 1989 Publication Date: January 1990 Chapter Title: Bank Monitoring and Investment: Evidence from the Changing Structure of Japanese Corporate Banking Relationships Chapter Author: Takeo Hoshi, Anil Kashyap, David Scharfstein Chapter URL: http://www.nber.org/chapters/c11469 Chapter pages in book: (p. 105 - 126) Bank Monitoring and Investment: Evidence from the Changing Structure of Japanese Corporate Banking Relationships Takeo Hoshi, Anil Kashyap, and David Scharfstein 4.1 Introduction Economists typically view banks as intermediaries that serve to channel

funds from individual investors to firms with productive investment opportu- nities. This commonly held view, however, is difficult to reconcile with the assumption of frictionless capital markets: in frictionless markets, firms would raise capital directly from individual investors and avoid the costs of intermediation.1 This paper offers empirical evidence on the benefits of intermediation. Our explanation for the existence of financial intermediaries derives from the view that there may be important capital-market frictions created by information problems between firms and investors. We view banks and other financial intermediaries as institutions designed in part to circumvent these capital- market imperfections. Specifically, banks serve as corporate monitors who pay the costs of becoming informed about their client firms and who try to ensure that the managers of these firms take efficient actions. This view of the role of banks is not new. Schumpeter (1939) argued infor- mally along these lines, and Diamond (1984) has constructed a formal model Takeo Hoshi is assistant professor of economics at the Graduate School of International Rela- tions and Pacific Studies, University of California, San Diego. Anil Kashyap is an economist in the Division of Research and Statistics at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. David Scharfstein is associate professor of finance at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Sloan School of Management. The authors thank Glenn Hubbard for useful conversations on numerous occasions. They are also grateful to Yasushi Hamao, Takatoshi Ito, Jim Kahn, John McMillan, Jim Poterba, and con- ference participants for helpful comments and to Masako Niwa, William Kan, and Andrew Wied- lin for valuable research assistance. The data were generously provided by the Nikkei Data Bank Bureau. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve or its staff. 105 106 T. Hoshi/A. Kashyap/D. Scharfstein that captures these and related ideas. Diamond shows that delegating the task of monitoring to a financial intermediary minimizes monitoring costs. The alternative—issuing securities like public debt and equity—may be inefficient either because monitoring costs are needlessly duplicated among individual security holders or because monitoring is a public good that no one has an incentive to provide. Of course, this raises a potentially troubling question: Who ensures that banks monitor the firms in which they invest? Diamond shows that bank diversification plays a key role in ensuring that...

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Equity Equivalent Investments - CDFI Fund

Equity Equivalent Investments - CDFI FundE 1 Q 2 Equity Equivalent Investments T HE N EED D EVELOPING A S OLUTION 1. The equity equivalent is carried as A strong permanent capital base is criti- In 1995, National Community Capital an investment on the investor’s cal for community development finan- set out to create a new financial in- balance sheet in accordance with cial institutions (CDFIs) because it in- strument that would function like eq- Generally Accepted Accounting creases the organization’s risk tolerance uity for nonprofit CDFIs. To realize Principles (GAAP) and lending flexibility, lowers the cost this goal, National Community Capi- of capital, and protects lenders by pro- tal chose an experienced partner— 2. It is a general obligation of the viding a cushion

against losses in ex- Citibank—to help develop an equity CDFI that is not secured by any of cess of loan loss reserves. It allows equivalent that would serve as a model the CDFI’s assets CDFIs to better meet the needs of their for replication by other nonprofit markets by allowing them to engage CDFIs and to make a lead investment 3. It is fully subordinated to the right in longer-term and riskier lending. A in National Community Capital. The of repayment of all of the CDFI’s larger permanent capital base also pro- equity equivalent investment product, other creditors vides more incentive for potential in- or EQ2, was developed through the vestors to lend money to a CDFI. All Citibank/National Community Capital 4. It does not give the investor the right of these results help CDFIs grow their collaboration and provides a new to accelerate payment unless the operations and solidify their positions source and type of capital for CDFIs. CDFI ceases its normal operations as permanent institutions. Unlike for- (i.e., changes its line of business) profit corporations, which can raise T HE E QUITY E QUIVALENT – equity by issuing stock, nonprofits W HAT I S I T ? 5. It carries an interest rate that is not must generally rely on grants to build The Equity Equivalent, or EQ2, is a tied to any income received by the this base. Traditionally, nonprofit capital product for community devel- CDFI CDFIs have raised the equity capital opment financial institutions and their they need to support their lending and investors. It is a financial tool that al- 6. It has a rolling term and therefore, investing activities through capital lows CDFIs to strengthen their capital an indeterminate maturity grants from philanthropic sources, or structures, leverage additional debt capi- in some instances, through retained tal, and as a result, increase lending and Like permanent capital, EQ2 en- earnings. However, building a perma- investing in economically disadvantaged hances a CDFI’s lending flexibility and nent capital base through grants is a communities. Since its creation in 1996, increases its debt capacity by protect- time-consuming process, and one that banks and other investors have made ing senior lenders from losses. Unlike often generates relatively little yield. It more than $70 million in EQ2 invest- permanent capital, the investment must is also a strategy that is constrained by ments and the EQ2 has become an in- eventually...

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National Bank of Egypt Investment Portfolio Strategy

Bank's investment Brief Overview on Investment Portfolio as on 30/6/2012 National Bank of Egypt Investment Portfolio Strategy National Bank of Egypt's strategy towards its investment portfolio has remained on of concurrently focusing on developing the national economy and at the same time maximizing the financial performance of the bank . The strategy is implemented through participation in various sectors and investment themes including participation in the establishment of major national projects in diverse industries . This strategy has helped the bank maintain a robust portfolio and at the same time helped the economy by increasing output and lowering unemployment rate. At the end of June 2012 the bank participated in 189 projects with a total capital of EGP 46.4 billion where

the bank's equity contribution was EGP 13.6 billion . The bank also provided credit facilities to these projects which stood at EGP 6.6 billion as of June 2012 . Bank's contribution to various projects by sector as of 30/6/2012 (EGP million) Sector No. Of Projects Project's Issued Capital Equity Value ً% Financial Enterprises 32 10,065 6,563 48.36% Banking 6 4,926 1,696 12.50% Housing & Residential Co. 26 6,877 1,542 11.36% Tourism Co. 30 4,454 1,394 10.27% Diversified projects (Others) 53 9,228 967 7.12% Food & Agro co. 16 2,947 628 4.63% Petrol chemicals & Natural Resources co. 10 4,219 489 3.60% Construction & building materials co. 5 3,288 167 1.23% Communications & IT Co. 11 521 124 0.91% Total 189 46,525 13,570 100%. The Bank's investment portfolio comprises various national and vital projects that support Egyptian economy , including but not limited to the following:- Banking: National Bank Of Egypt - NBE (Uk) Financial Enterprises: Al-Ahly Capital Holding . Communications & IT Co.: E- Finance Co. Tourism Co.: Misr International Towers Co. Housing & Residential Co.: Al Ahly Real Estate Development CO. Construction & building materials co.: Midcom Aswan Cement Co. Food & Agro co.: Al Ahly Co. For Agricultural. Petrol chemicals & Natural Resources co.: Alexandria National Refining And Petrochemical Co. Diversified projects (Others): Medical companies , trade & distribution companies. Portfolio Performance & Management policy Relatively, 104 companies of the investment portfolio with total book value reaches EGP 9.3 billion represent 85% are classified as profitable . The realized return on investment within the year 2011/2012 amounted to EGP 272 million including cash dividends from 66 enterprises amounted to EGP 216 million (with a total book value of EGP 2.4 billion) and capital gains of EGP 56 million as a result of the sale of some investment portfolio , in addition to bonus shares amounted to EGP 23 million. During the FY 2011/2012 the board of the bank decided to invest in 4 new projects with a total Investments EGP 334 million as follows:- 1. NBE(DIFC)Dubai International Financial Center with an equity share accounts for 100%. 2. National Bank of Egypt-El Khartoum with an equity share accounts for 99.5% . 3. Al Ahly for securities with an equity share accounts for 60.5%. 4. Upper Egypt for concentrates with an equity share accounts for 40%. However...

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Introducing Public Sector Financial Management - The Treasury

Introducing Public Sector Financial Management - The Treasury6 PUTTING IT TOGETHER The purpose of New Zealand’s public sector financial management system and the structures within which it operates. 1 INTRODUCING PUBLIC SECTOR FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT PUTTING IT TOGETHER 7 INTRODUCING PUBLIC SECTOR FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT The Purpose of Public Sector Financial Management The New Zealand public sector financial management system aims to: • assist the Government to translate its strategy into action • promote informed decision-making and accountability • encourage a responsive and efficient public sector. The system achieves these aims through the planning, decision-making and scrutiny processes that culminate in the passing of the Government’s Budget, the incentives for managing efficiently, and the reporting and feedback processes. Chapters Three, Five and Seven respectively, describe these features. Understanding the

financial management system requires a knowledge of the constitutional environment within which it operates. The Government is accountable to Parliament. The public sector financial management system supports this constitutional structure. It provides accountability, in particular through the appropriation system and through parliamentary scrutiny of the Government’s performance. Chapters Four and Eight outline how these work. The public sector comprises more than just government departments. Some types of government operation are better suited to alternative organisational structures such as companies. Chapter Six explains financial decision- making and accountability structures employed for organisations forming part of the wider public sector. However, this booklet does not cover local government. This and the next chapter introduce the key concepts underlining the system. Firstly the environment in which the system operates is looked at. Key Documents generated by the Public Sector Financial Management System The public sector financial management system focuses on Government’s accountability for its financial performance in the public sector (i.e., through its government departments, State-owned enterprises, Crown entities and other organisations). Public sector financial management operates in the context of New Zealand’s constitutional and administrative structures. Budget Departmental Forecast Reports Key Result Areas Supplementary Estimates Estimates of Appropriation Performance Agreements Appropriation (Financial Review) Bill Imprest Supply Strategic Result Areas Budget Policy Statement Performance Reports to Ministers Purchase Agreements Strategic Business Plans Monthly Financial Statements Legend Government-wide reports Dept specific reports Department Financial Statements Crown Financial Statements 8 PUTTING IT TOGETHER What is the Constitutional Structure of the Public Sector? Public sector financial management operates in the context of New Zealand’s constitu- tional and administrative structures. New Zealand is a monarchy. It is a parliamentary democracy. New Zealand’s constitution increasingly reflects the fact that the Treaty of Waitangi is regarded as a founding document of government in New Zealand 1 . The Constitution Act 1986 recognises that the Queen is the Head of State of New Zealand and that the Governor-General is appointed as her representative in New Zealand. Section 2 of the Public Finance Act 1989 defines the “Crown” to mean: Her Majesty the Queen in right of New Zealand; and includes all Ministers of the Crown and all departments, but does not include: New Zealand is a monarchy, it has a parliamentary system of government and it is a democracy. The Governor-General is the Queen’s representative in New Zealand. Parliament is elected every three years, and controls the public finances and...

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Financial Management

Financial ManagementPreface Financial Management is an essential part of the economic and non economic activities which leads to decide the efficient procurement and utilization of finance with profitable manner. In the olden days the subject Financial Management was a part of accountancy with the traditional approaches. Now a days it has been enlarged with innovative and multi dimensional functions in the field of business with the effect of industrialization, Financial Management has become a vital part of the business concern and they are concentrating more in the field of Financial Management. Financial Management also developed as corporate finance, business finance, financial economics, financial mathematics and financial engineering. Understanding the basic concept about the financial management becomes an essential part for the

students of economics, commerce and management. This book provides detailed information about the finance and finance related area with simple language and the concepts are explained with easy examples. This book is also prepared based on the B.Com., B.B.A., B.B.M., M.Com., and M.B.A. syllabus of various universities for the benefits of the students. AUTHORS Contents Preface (v) C HAPTER - 1 INTRODUCTION TO FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 1–10 Introduction 1 Meaning of Finance 1 Definition of Finance 1 Definition of Business Finance 2 Types of Finance 2 Definition of Financial Management 3 Scope of Financial Management 4 Objectives of Financial Management 5 • Profit maximization 5 • Favourable arguments for profit maximization 6 • Unfavorable arguments for profit maximization 6 • Drawbacks of profit maximization 6 • Wealth maximization 6 • Favourable arguments for wealth maximization 7 • Unfavourable arguments for wealth maximization 7 Approaches to Financial Management 7 • Traditional approach 8 Functions of Finance Manager 8 Importance of Financial Management 9 • Financial planning 9 • Acquisition of funds 9 • Proper use of funds 10 • Financial decision 10 • Improve profitability 10 Contents • Increase the value of the firm 10 • Promoting savings 10 Model Questions 10 C HAPTER - 2 FINANCIAL STATEMENT ANALYSIS 11–24 Introduction 11 Meaning and Definition 11 • Income statement 12 • Position statement 12 • Statement of changes in owners equity 12 • Statement of changes in financial position 12 Types of Financial Statement Analysis 13 Techniques of Financial Statement Analysis 14 • Comparative statement analysis 15 • Comparative balance-sheet analysis 15 • Comparative profit and loss account analysis 16 • Trend analysis 17 • Common size analysis 17 Funds Flow Statement 18 Cash Flow Statement 19 • Difference between funds flow and cash flow statement 19 Ratio Analysis 20 • Liquidity ratio 21 • Activity ratio 21 • Solvency ratio 22 • Profitability ratio 22 Model Questions 24 C HAPTER - 3 SOURCES OF FINANCING 25–39 Introduction 25 • Long-term financial requirements or Fixed capital requirement 25 • Short-term financial requirements or Working capital requirement 25 Sources of Finance 26 Security Finance 28 • Characters of security finance 28 • Types of security finance 28 • Ownership securities 28 Equity Shares 28 • Features of equity shares 28 • Advantages of equity shares 29 • Disadvantages of equity shares 30 Preference Shares 30 • Irredeemable preference shares 31 Contents • Participating...

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Monday, April 29, 2013

Stock Trading by Modelling Price Trend with Dynamic

LNCS 3177 - Stock Trading by Modelling Price Trend with Dynamic ...Stock Trading by Modelling Price Trend with Dynamic Bayesian Networks Jangmin O 1 ,JaeWonLee 2 , Sung-Bae Park 1 , and Byoung-Tak Zhang 1 1 School of Computer Science and Engineering, Seoul National University San 56-1, Shillim-dong, Kwanak-gu, Seoul, Korea 151-744 {jmoh,sbpark,btzhang}@bi.snu.ac.kr 2 School of Computer Science and Engineering, Sungshin Women’s University, Dongsun-dong, Sungbuk-gu, Seoul, Korea 136-742 jwlee@cs.sungshin.ac.kr Abstract. We study a stock trading method based on dynamic bayesian networks to model the dynamics of the trend of stock prices. We design a three level hierarchical hidden Markov model (HHMM). There are five states describing the trend in first level. Second and third levels are abstract and concrete hidden Markov models to produce the observed patterns. To train the HHMM,

we adapt a semi-supervised learning so that the trend states of first layer is manually labelled. The inferred probability distribution of first level are used as an indicator for the trading signal, which is more natural and reasonable than technical in- dicators. Experimental results on representative 20 companies of Korean stock market show that the proposed HHMM outperforms a technical indicator in trading performances. 1 Introduction Stock market is a core of capitalism where people invest some of their asset in stocks and companies might raise their business funds from stock market. Since the number of investors is increasing everyday in this century, the intelligent de- cision support systems aiding them to trade are keenly needed. But attempts on modelling or predicting the stock market have not been successful in consistently beating the market. This is the famous Eļ¬ƒcient Market Hypothesis (EMH) say- ing that the future prices are unpredictable since all the information available is already reflected on the history of past prices [4]. However, if we step back from consistently, we can find several empirical results saying that the market might be somewhat predictable [1]. Many of technical indicators such as moving averages have been developed by researchers in economic area [3]. There are some weak points in technical in- dicators. For example, if we use RSI, we must specify its parameters. The curves of RSI are heavily influenced by the parameters. Also, there are some vagueness in their interpretations, which might be varied according to the subjectiveness of the interpreters. In this paper, we propose a trend predictor of stock prices that can produce the probability distribution of trend states under the dynamics of trend and Z.R. Yang et al. (Eds.): IDEAL 2004, LNCS 3177, pp. 794–799, 2004. c© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2004 Stock Trading by Modelling Price Trend with Dynamic Bayesian Networks 795 price of a stock. To model the dynamics, we design a hierarchical hidden Markov model, a variant of dynamic bayesian networks (DBN). Given observed series of prices, a DBN can probabilistically inference hidden states from past to current. Also we can sample or predict the future from learned dynamics. To use an indicator of bid and ask signals, it is more natural to use our HHMM model than technical indicators. The resulting trading performance is compared with the performances of a technical indicator through a simulated trading on Korean stock market. 2 HHMM...

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Municipal Finance Management Act: Regulations - Juta - Law

Municipal Finance Management Act: Regulations - Juta - LawSTAATSKOERANT, 13 JULIE 2012 No.35500 29 NOTICE 556 OF 2012 NATIONAL TREASURY LOCAL GOVERNMENT: MUNICIPAL FINANCE MANAGEMENT ACT (ACT 58 OF 2003) DRAFT MUNICIPAL FINANCIAL MISCONDUCT REGULATIONS CALL FOR COMMENTS I, Pravin Gordhan, Minister of Finance, after consultation with the Minister of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs, hereby publish the draft regulations made, in terms of section 168 and 175 read with chapter 15, for public comment in terms of section 169(1)(b) of the Municipal Finance Management Act 56 of 2003, as set out in the Schedule. Interested persons may submit their comments on the draft regulations in writing on or before 31 August 2012 to: The Director-General, c/o Mr TV Pillay, National Treasury, Private Bag X115, Pretoria, 0001, or

per fax to (012) 315-5230 or e-mail to MFMA@treasury.gov.za. Kindly provide the name, address, telephone, fax numbers and e-mail address of the person or organisation submitting the comments. PRA V IN GORDHAN MINISTER OF FINANCE 30 No.35500 GOVERNMENT GAZETTE, 13 JULY 2012 EXPLANATORY MEMORANDUM Municipal Financial Misconduct Regulations The implementation of the Municipal Finance Management Act (MFMA) in all municipalities and entities remains an important strategy to modernise and improve financial management and service delivery. Unked to this strategy are the fundamental principles of effective and efficient utilisation of public resources and transparent and accountable financial management practices. Whilst many of the reforms that form part of this strategy have been implemented over the last seven years, and much has been done to provide various training and capacity building initiatives, it has become imperative to strengthen the enforcement provisions enabled in the MFMA. To give effect to the priorities outlined in government outcomes and to address recent requests to provide further regulations in dealing effectively with matters of financial misconduct, the attached set of regulations were developed to complement the amendment to the Local Government: Municipal Systems Act, 2000 ( Act No 32 of 2000) ("MSA'') as amended and regulations issued in terms thereof. These regulations give effect to the Medium Term Strategic Framework for 2009 - 2014 to introduce measures to combat corruption in the public and private sectors through advocacy, strengthening the legal and policy prescripts and frameworks and implementation thereof. The Auditor-General has highlighted a number of issues in the Consolidated Report on Local Government Audits for 2009/1 0 that include, among others, non-adherence to financial management policies and prescripts, as well as the need to improve governance arrangements. A significant number of municipalities have incurred unauthorised, irregular as well as fruitless and wasteful expenditure. The regulations on financial misconduct will support measures to expeditiously address contraventions of financial misconduct and mismanagement. Section 175 of the MFMA grants the Minister of Finance the power to make regulations dealing with financial misconduct and related matters. The objective of the Financial Misconduct Regulations is to set out processes and procedures that municipalities and entities must follow when dealing with financial misconduct. The regulations will apply to all officials and political office bearers within municipalities and municipal entities. STAATSKOERANT, 13 JULIE 2012 No. 35500 31 The Financial Misconduct Regulations consist of four chapters to assist with its implementation. The first...

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Sunday, April 28, 2013

Strategic Stock Trading - WallStreetWindow.com

Strategic Stock Trading - WallStreetWindow.com1 2 Strategic Stock Trading: Master Personal Finance Using WallStreetWindow Stock Investing Strategies with Stock Market Technical Analysis By Michael Swanson PDF VERSION Copyright 2010 Michael Swanson All Rights Reserved 3 Contents Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 4 Chapter 1: One Stock Can Change Your Life ............................................................................................... 6 Chapter 2: Invest Alongside the Smart Money ............................................................................................. 9 Chapter 3: Learn to Read Stock Price Movements ..................................................................................... 11 Chapter 4: What Really Makes a Stock Go Up........................................................................................... 14 Chapter 5: Riding a Stock Sector from Trough to Peak .............................................................................. 16 Chapter 6: How to Buy Tomorrow‟s Big Winners Today .......................................................................... 20 Chapter 7: The Most Profitable Stock Pattern You Can Buy ..................................................................... 23 Chapter 8: Buying a Stock Using the Two Fold Formula ...........................................................................

32 Chapter 9: Manage Your Risk .................................................................................................................... 36 Chapter 10: Understand Investment Crowd Psychology ............................................................................ 40 Chapter 11: Escape the Winner‟s Curse of Investing ................................................................................. 44 Chapter 12: Hold a Core Position ............................................................................................................... 48 Chapter 13: Profit During Bear Markets with Short Selling ....................................................................... 52 Chapter 14: Invest in Quality Companies ................................................................................................... 56 Chapter 15: Putting it All Together............................................................................................................. 58 Acknowledgements ..................................................................................................................................... 60 4 Introduction My name is Mike Swanson. I started with $15,000 in the stock market and now have over a million dollars at work in my stock trading and investment accounts. By the time you read this, there is a good chance that number will be even bigger. In 2002 I won a prestigious trading championship trophy and, in the following year, co-founded a hedge fund that I ran for several years, during which it beat the benchmark market averages. In fact, in one year it was ranked in the top forty of over five thousand hedge funds tracked by hedgefund.net in regards to performance. I have helped tens of thousands of people who subscribe to my free and premium services at my Web site, WallStreetWindow.com, and have been interviewed by the Wall Street Journal and quoted all over the place, including in Barron’s, TheStreet.com, and Businessweek. In this book I am going to teach you the principles behind my stock market success. Imagine what it would be like to have as much money as you could ever want. The stock market provides this type of opportunity for you. What would you do with this money? Where would you go? All you need to do is picture one thing in your mind that you want to do to see how exciting the stock market can be for you. You see, every day stocks go up and down and every day somehow someone makes a profit. However, most investors do not get the results they want from the stock market. Instead they miss opportunities in the market. Or they may buy a stock only to see it go down when good news comes out for what seems to be no good reason at all. Most people find the stock market to be a very confusing and illogical animal. As a result they experience frustration and confusion. They start to think that investing is all about luck or is a game rigged against them. But there is a method...

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INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES - World Bank Treasury

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES - World Bank TreasuryTHE WORLD BANK INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES THE WORLD BANK TREASURY 1225 CONNECTICUT AVE NW, WASHINGTON, DC 20433 USA http://treasury.worldbank.org/capitalmarkets OVERVIEW 1 WHAT IS THE WORLD BANK? 2 WHY INVEST WITH THE WORLD BANK? 3 INVESTMENT PRODUCTS 2 WHAT IS THE WORLD BANK? 3 WHAT IS THE WORLD BANK? An international organization owned by 188 member countries 4 WHAT IS THE WORLD BANK? A global development cooperative – its owners are its clients 5 WHAT IS THE WORLD BANK? The world’s largest source of expertise in development finance 60 years of financing development projects Ɗ US$500+ billion in financing Ɗ 130 countries approximately Ɗ 5,000+ projects Issues bonds in the capital markets to finance its activities 6 WHAT IS THE WORLD BANK?

10,000 staff members 170 different nationalities 130 country offices all over the world IBRD INTERNATIONAL BANK FOR RECONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT is the largest part of the World Bank Group 7 THE WORLD BANK GROUP 1944 1960 1956 1966 1988 IBRD IDA IFC MIGA ICSID International International International Multilateral International Bank for Development Finance Investment Centre for the Reconstruction Association Corporation Guarantee Agency Settlement of and Development Investment Disputes Issuer of World Bank Bonds 8 World Bank History IBRD was created in 1944 to rebuild Europe after World War II and has been referred to as “World Bank” almost as soon as it was established. Since inception, IBRD was designed to be financially self-sustaining and earn income to support its development activities – it was not set up as an aid agency. IBRD’s first loans were made to France and other European countries for reconstruction purposes; loans to Japan and other creditworthy countries followed. As IBRD's focus shifted towards poverty alleviation as part of development in the 1960s, it continued to lend to countries that were creditworthy and could borrow at market-based rates. The International Development Association (IDA) was created to provide concessional financing for poorer and less creditworthy countries. 9 Financial Solutions for Member Countries Provides financing, risk management products, and other financial services only to sovereigns or for sovereign-guaranteed projects in developing countries with per capita income over a certain level* (currently US$1,195). Countries with less capacity to repay loans receive long-term loans at zero percent interest or grants from the concessional lending window, the International Development Association (IDA). Loans and risk management solutions focus on fostering sustainable growth and reducing poverty and are always the result of intensive consultations between the World Bank and the country partner. *Currently, US$7,035 of per capita annual income or more initiates the process of graduating from IBRD borrower eligibility. 10 What We Support IBRD Lending in FY 2012 (Total amount: US$21 billion) Economic Urban Management Development 6% Environment & South Asia Africa 10% Natural Middle East Resources and North 6% 1% East Asia Trade & 12% Africa and Pacific Integration 7% 26% 7% Social Protection & Risk 11% Social Development/ Gender Financial & 2% Private Sector Rural Development Latin Development 16% America 9% and the Caribbean Europe and Rule of Law Human 30% Central Asia Public Sector 1% Development 30% Governance 13% 13% Distribution by Theme Distribution by Region Note: Distribution by...

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Security Investments – Bank Bills PID - Commonwealth Bank

Security Investments – Bank Bills PID - Commonwealth BankWhat you need to knoW Security Investments – Bank Bills Product Information Document* Issue date: 14 September 2010 Issued by: Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945 You should read all sections of this Product Information Document before making a decision to acquire this financial product. As the information in this document has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs, you should, before acting on the information, consider its appropriateness to your circumstances. * Please note that this product is not regulated under the Corporations Act 2001. General InformatIon 2 features at a glance 2 Purpose of a Product Information Document (PID) 3 What are Security Investments – Bank Bills? 3 What is

a prime bank? 4 Who are Bank Bills suitable for? 4 How are interest rates determined? 4 How does a Bank Bill work? 4 repurchasing a Bank Bill 5 What are the significant benefits of a Bank Bill? 6 What are the significant disadvantages of a Bank Bill? 6 What are the significant risks? 7 How do I invest in a Bank Bill? 7 How do I set up an account operating authority? 7 Severance 8 What are the costs involved in a Bank Bill? 8 are there any tax implications I should be aware of? 8 What if I have a complaint? 8 Customer information and privacy 9 DefInItIonS 11 aPPenDIX a – fees and Government taxes 12 1 Contents features at a glance Significant benefits Security of a fixed interest rate. Significant risks You may receive back less than your purchase price if you request the Bank to repurchase your investment. You may be exposed to another bank’s credit risk if your Bank Bill is not accepted or endorsed by the Commonwealth Bank of australia. Minimum investment amount $100,000.00. Terms available from 1 day to 185 days. Interest rates Current interest rates are available on request from your relationship manager or any branch of the Bank. Payment of earnings at maturity. Fees and charges no Bank fees or charges are applicable. for further information see appendix a. Withdrawals in advance of maturity at the discretion of the Bank. may be repurchased partially or in full, subject to certain conditions. Repurchase price a repurchase price will be calculated by reference to the repurchase amount, the remaining term of the investment and the repurchase rate. 2 General InformatIon General Information the information in this Product Information Document (PID) is subject to change from time to time and is up to date as at the date stated on the cover. Where the new information is materially adverse information, the Bank will either issue a new PID or a supplementary PID setting out the updated information. Where the new information is not materially adverse information, we will not issue a new PID or supplementary PID to you, but you will be able to find the updated information on our web site commbank.com.au or you can call 13 2221. If you ask us to, we will send you a paper copy of the information. 3 Purpose of a Product Information Document (PID)* a...

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Retail Investment Sales - FDIC

Retail Investment Sales - FDICIX. Retail Sales — Investments 1 Retail Investment Sales exempt from these requirements. Once Title II of GLBA becomes effective, banks that offer securities will have a Introduction choice. They may either register with the SEC as broker dealers or confine their programs to a list of activities exempt These compliance examination procedures and guidance apply from registration. Due to the capital requirements imposed on to retail recommendations or sales of securities by, on behalf broker dealers by the SEC, most banks prefer to limit their of, or on the premises of FDIC supervised institutions. securities sales activities to those that do not require SEC “Retail” in this context means securities recommendations or registration. Pursuant to §1001 of GLBA, a

bank is exempt 5 sales activities which are conducted separately from a bank’s from registration as a broker when it sells securities as part 2 trust or fiduciary activities. While these “retail” activities are of: primarily conducted with consumers, they can be conducted with commercial customers under certain circumstances. • third party arrangements conducted pursuant to written agreements; Generally, securities are financial instruments that grant an • certain stock purchase plans; ownership position or the right to purchase one. They are not insured by the FDIC. Moreover, one of their most significant • sweep accounts; features is investment risk, i.e., the risk that purchasers may • affiliate transactions; lose part or all of their invested principal. Securities include • private securities offerings; individual stocks and bonds, mutual funds, self-directed 3 • safekeeping and custody activities; individual retirement accounts (IRA) that invest in securities , 4 and annuities. Securities sales activities have the potential to • transactions defined as permissible under GLBA; bolster bank earnings, increase bank competitiveness, and • banking products specifically identified by GLBA; provide bank customers with additional services. However, • municipal securities; these types of activities also have the potential to confuse • a de minimus number of transactions, i.e., less than 500 customers, expose banks to contingent liabilities, and damage per year; or the reputation of these institutions. Therefore, examiners must evaluate an institution’s retail securities activities with care. A • trust and fiduciary activities. list of key terms is available under the Job Aids section of this chapter. Under GLBA, federal bank regulators will eventually become responsible for verifying that banks accurately document Supervisory Responsibility compliance with exemptions from registration. The FDIC and other banking agencies will issue the regulations necessary to Generally, parties that recommend or sell securities must do so once the SEC defines the scope of the registration register with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) 6 exemptions. Until then, compliance examiners are not as broker-dealers. Once registered, broker dealers are subject required to assess bank compliance with exemptions to to regulation by the SEC and National Association of registration. However, banks involved in securities sales Securities Dealers (NASD). However, until the Gramm- should be made aware of the GLBA provisions that relate to Leach-Bliley Act (GLBA) was enacted in 1999, banks were this area. ____________________ NOTE: It is important to understand that a bank, an affiliate 1 This section fully incorporates...

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Activities Permissible for a National Bank, Cumulative

Activities Permissible for a National Bank, Cumulative - American ...Activities Permissible for a National Bank, Cumulative INVESTMENTS 1  Acquisition of Preferred Securities. A national bank may purchase and hold the preferred securities of two special-purpose entities that hold interests in Australian mortgage assets. OCC Interpretive Letter No. 1027 (May 3, 2005). Acquisition of Preferred Stock of an Unaffiliated Company. A national bank has authority to acquire and hold the preferred stock of an unaffiliated company, pursuant to its authority to discount and negotiate evidences of debt, where the preferred stock is in substance a debt obligation of the issuer. The bank acquired the preferred stock as partial consideration for the disposition of a loan portfolio to the company. The bank’s existing holdings represent less than 5 percent

of the bank’s capital and surplus and are within applicable prudential standards and regulatory limits. OCC Interpretive Letter No. 941 (June 11, 2002). Agricultural Cooperative. Under Part 24, a national bank may purchase common stock in an agricultural cooperative, where the bank’s liability was limited to the amount of its equity investment. The cooperative was initiated by a local economic development authority and local farmers and businesses as a way to promote the economic development of the area, and had received financial support from both the economic development authority and the federal government. The cooperative also benefited low- and moderate-income individuals by creating permanent jobs for those individuals. Approval Letter (September 4, 2001), National Bank Community Development Investments 2001 Directory.  Agricultural Credit Corporations. National banks may purchase stock of a corporation organized to make loans to farmers and ranchers for agricultural purposes. An investment in such an agricultural credit corporation may not exceed 20 percent of a national bank’s capital and surplus, unless the national bank owns at least 80 percent. 12 USC 24(Seventh).  Asset-Backed Securities. National banks may invest up to 25 percent of capital and surplus in marketable investment grade securities that are fully secured by interests in a pool of loans to numerous obligors and in which a national bank may invest directly. 12 CFR 1.2(m), 1.3(f).  Banker’s Acceptances. National banks may invest in banker’s acceptances created by other nonaffiliated banks without limit, if they are created in accordance with 12 USC 372, and are thus “eligible” for discount with a Federal Reserve bank. But section 372(b), (c), and (d) restrict investment in the aggregate amount of banker’s acceptances created 1 For investments in partnerships, note that subsidiaries of national banks may become general partners, but national banks may not. 78 Office of the Comptroller of the Currency • April 2010 Activities Permissible for a National Bank, Cumulative by any one bank. Holdings of “ineligible” banker’s acceptances must be included in the purchasing bank’s lending limit to the accepting bank. 12 USC 84; 12 CFR. 32.  Banker’s Banks. National banks may invest in banker’s banks, or their holding companies, in an amount up to 10 percent of the national bank’s capital stock and unimpaired surplus. In addition, national banks may not hold more than 5 percent of the voting securities of a banker’s bank or holding company. 12 USC 24(Seventh). A banker’s...

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Financial Management Guidelines - Financial Services

Financial Management Guidelines - Financial ServicesFinancial Management Guidelines Gui deli nes for busi ness offi cers and ot her facul ty/st aff invol ved wi t h managi ng depart ment al fi nances Publi shed by: Fi nanci al Servi c es Effec ti ve: Januar y 2012 Revi sed: Oc tober 5, 2012 Table of Contents PURPOSE/SCOPE ....................................................................................................................................... 4 I. ROLES AND RESPONSIBILITIES ............................................................................................................ 4 Department Head ...................................................................................................................................... 4 Fund Manager ........................................................................................................................................... 4 Other Departments .................................................................................................................................... 4 Controller’s Office .................................................................................................................................. 4 Budget Office......................................................................................................................................... 4 Internal Audit ......................................................................................................................................... 4 II. DELEGATION CRITERIA ......................................................................................................................... 4 III. FINANCIAL OBJECTIVES ....................................................................................................................... 5 IV. GUIDING PRINCIPLES FOR BUDGETARY AND FINANCIAL ACTIVITY ............................................. 6 Establishing and Using Budgets ............................................................................................................... 6 Financial Activity ....................................................................................................................................... 7 V. FUND ESTABLISHMENT/SETUP ............................................................................................................ 7

VI. FUND MANAGEMENT ............................................................................................................................ 8 1. Accurate Financial Reporting and Analysis ...................................................................................... 8 Reasons for analysis ............................................................................................................................. 8 Monthly financial monitoring steps ........................................................................................................ 8 2. Spending Compliance ....................................................................................................................... 9 3. Safeguarding University Assets ...................................................................................................... 10 Cash Handling ..................................................................................................................................... 10 Physical Assets ................................................................................................................................... 10 Financial Records ............................................................................................................................... 10 4. Safeguarding Sensitive Information ................................................................................................ 10 5. Managing University Finances and Recording of Transactions ...................................................... 11 6. Avoiding Financial Penalties and Fraud .......................................................................................... 11 VII. FUND CHANGES, CLOSEOUTS, AND INACTIVATIONS .................................................................. 11 VIII. BUDGET MANAGEMENT ................................................................................................................... 12 Monthly Review ....................................................................................................................................... 12 Budget Pools ....................................................................................................................................... 12 Banner Forms...................................................................................................................................... 12 Budget Revisions .................................................................................................................................... 12 Budget Revision Form (BD606) .......................................................................................................... 13 Budget Flexibility Form (BD607) ......................................................................................................... 13 IX. REVIEWING FOR ENCUMBRANCES .................................................................................................. 13 X. BANNER FORMS AND REPORTS ........................................................................................................ 15 UNC Charlotte: Financial Management Guidelines Page | 2 FGIBAVL – Budget Availability Status .................................................................................................... 15 FGIBDST – Organization Budget Status ................................................................................................ 16 FGITRND – Detail Transaction Activity ................................................................................................... 18 Other Forms and Reports ....................................................................................................................... 19 Banner ................................................................................................................................................. 19 ePrint ................................................................................................................................................... 20 Banner Finance Training ......................................................................................................................... 20 Document Type Matrix ............................................................................................................................ 22 XI. CONTACTS, WEBSITES, AND FURTHER RESOURCES .................................................................. 22 Financial Services sites ........................................................................................................................... 22 Other University sites .............................................................................................................................. 23 APPENDIX 1: CONTACTS FOR FUND USE GUIDANCE ........................................................................ 25 APPENDIX 2: BUDGET POOL ACCOUNTS ............................................................................................. 28 APPENDIX 3: COMPONENTS OF INTERNAL CONTROL ...................................................................... 29 UNC Charlotte: Financial Management Guidelines Page | 3 PURPOSE/SCOPE To provide department heads, business managers, and supporting business staff guidance related to financial management and the steps necessary to analyze departmental transactions, fund and account balances, and budgets on a monthly and ongoing basis. I. ROLES AND RESPONSIBILITIES Department Head Responsible for ensuring that its department’s financial resources are managed in an efficient and cost- effective manner consistent with the intended purpose of the funds established in his or her department. The Department Head maintains fiduciary responsibility for the entire fund(s), but may delegate authority for financial analysis and reconciliation for specific transaction components or overall fund management in accordance with the delegation guidelines contained herein. Fund Manager Also referred to as ‘Financial Managers’ within Banner Finance. Responsible for management of all funds within department and the stewardship of assets within these funds, including: • Preventing overspending of departmental budgets • Completing analysis and reconciliation of all funds’ accounts each month • Ensuring that accounts are reviewed monthly and that accurate accounting records are maintained • Maintaining working knowledge of policies, regulations, and...

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Saturday, April 27, 2013

Stock Trading Using Linear Genetic Programming with Multiple Time

Stock trading using linear genetic programming with multiple time ...Stock Trading using Linear Genetic Programming with Multiple Time Frames Garnett Wilson Afinin Labs Inc. St. John’s, Canada gwilson@afinin.com Derek Leblanc Afinin Labs Inc. St. John’s, Canada dleblanc@afinin.com Wolfgang Banzhaf Afinin Labs Inc. St. John’s, Canada banzhaf@afinin.com ABSTRACT A number of researchers have attempted to take successful GP trading systems and make them even better through the use of filters. We investigate the use of a linear genetic programming (LGP) system that combines GP signals pro- vided over multiple intraday time frames to produce one trading action. Four combinations of time frames stretching further into the past are examined. Two diļ¬€erent decision mechanisms for evaluating the overall signal given the GP signals over all time frames are also examined, one

based on majority vote and another based on temporal proxim- ity to the buying decision. Results indicated that majority vote outperformed emphasis on proximity of time frames to the current trading decision. Analyses also indicated that longer time frame combinations were more conservative and outperformed shorter combinations for both overall upward and downward price trends. Categories and Subject Descriptors I.2.8 [Artificial Intelligence]: Problem Solving, Control Methods, and Search—Heuristic methods General Terms Algorithms, Performance, Experimentation Keywords computational finance, linear genetic programming, algo- rithmic trading 1. INTRODUCTION Researchers who apply genetic programming (GP) or evo- lutionarycomputationmethodsforanalysisoffinancialmar- kets have a number of diļ¬€erent approaches to discover prof- itable opportunities in the price time series they analyze. Someresearcherstrainasystemonanextendedperiodof time, and then allow the evolved solution of static rules to Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. To copy otherwise, to republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. GECCO’11, July 12–16, 2011, Dublin, Ireland. Copyright 2011 ACM 978-1-4503-0557-0/11/07 ...$10.00. operate on a subsequent extended test period [3], [4]. Other researchers have found it beneficial to continually train on a moving window, and only act in anticipation of the im- mediate future of the price changes based on the immediate past [1], [8]. Others go further than this, combining either of these systems with filters that are used to improve the confidence that a GP signal is actually being evolved on an inherently trending time series [3], [4], [7]. In this work, we combine the notions of filtering GP signals and moving windows of varying length in a linear genetic programming system (LGP). In particular, we use the LGP system to de- termine whether price series in partially overlapping time frames are collectively consistent in producing a particular algorithm signal. The next section describes existing literature on the use of filters with GP and the notion of predictable windows with price series. Section 3 describes the linear GP system applied to stock trading using multiple time frames. Section 4describestradingperformance characteristicsof thesystem and its profitability. Conclusions follow in Section 6. 2. PREVIOUS WORK To the authors’ knowledge there are no GP systems in the...

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Reading Your Credit Card Bill/pdf

Reading Your Credit Card Bill/pdf1) Summary of account activity A summary of the transactions on your account‐‐your payments, credits, purchases, balance transfers, cash advances, fees, interest charges, and amounts past due. It will also show your new balance, available credit (your credit limit minus the amount you owe), and the last day of the billing period (payments or charges after this day will show up on your next bill). 2) Payment information Your total new balance, the minimum payment amount (the least amount you should pay), and the date your payment is due. A payment generally is considered on time if received by 5 p.m. on the day it is due. If mailed payments are not accepted on a due date (for example, if

the due date is on a weekend or holiday), the payment is considered on time if it arrives by 5 p.m. on the next business day. Example: If your bill is due on July 4th and the credit card company does not receive mail that day, your payment will be on time if it arrives by mail by 5 p.m. on July 5th. 3) Late payment warning This section states any additional fees and the higher interest rate that may be charged if your payment is late. 4) Minimum payment warning An estimate of how long it can take to pay off your credit card balance if you make only the minimum payment each month, and an estimate of how much you likely will pay, including interest, in order to pay off your bill in three years (assuming you have no additional charges). For other estimates of payments and timeframes, see the Credit Card Repayment Calculator. 5) Notice of changes to your interest rates If you trigger the penalty rate (for example, by going over your credit limit or paying your bill late), your credit card company may notify you that your rates will be increasing. The credit card company must tell you at least 45 days before your rates change. 6) Other changes to your account terms If your credit card company is going to raise interest rates or fees or make other significant changes to your account, it must notify you at least 45 days before the changes take effect. 7) Transactions A list of all the transactions that have occurred since your last statement (purchases, payments, credits, cash advances, and balance transfers). Some credit card companies group them by type of transactions. Others list them by date of transaction or by user, if there are different users on the account. Review the list carefully to make sure that you recognize all of the transactions. This is the section of your statement where you can check for unauthorized transactions or other problems. 8) Fees and interest charges Credit card companies must list the fees and interest charges separately on your monthly bill. Interest charges must be listed by type of transaction (for example, you may be charged a different interest rate for purchases than for cash advances). 9) Year‐to‐date totals The total that you have paid in fees and interest charges for the current year. You can avoid...

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Friday, April 26, 2013

Stock Trading Basics

5. Stock Trading Basics5. Stock Trading Basics Before we move on to investment banking and stock markets to nish up the survey of nancial institutions, it is a good idea that we understand how stocks are traded rst. 5.1 Stock Quote 1. Bid, ask, and last prices Buyers and sellers look at di¤erent prices. a) Does a small bid-ask spread indicate an active market? b) The market can be seen as a gigantic order book for now. 2. Volume Volume alone transmits very little information. 3. Settlement An order executed must be settled within 3 working days (T+3 Rule). 18 5. Stock Trading Basics 5.2 Order Types 1. Market orders Market orders are buy or sell orders that are to be executed immediately

at current market prices. 2. Price-contingent orders Investors also may place orders specifying prices at which they are willing to buy or sell a security. a) Limit orders A limit buy order is to buy shares at or below a stipulated price. b) Stop orders (stop market orders) A stop order is similar to a limit order, but once the stipulated price is reached, the order will turn into a market order for immediate execution. 5.3 Stock Trading Costs Trading stocks costs investors. Some of the costs are obvious and explicit, while others are not that straightforward. 1. Explicit costs a) Broker’s commission b) Bid-ask spread 2. Implicit costs a) Impact costs It takes time and price concessions for the market to absorb large orders. b) Timing costs Execution speed makes or kills a trade. The speed depends on the privilege level and technology. c) Opportunity costs "You’ll know that to lose your position is something nobody can a¤ord; not even John D. Rockefeller." 5.4 Leveraging Your Bets: Margin Trading 19 5.4 Leveraging Your Bets: Margin Trading There are many reasons why investors want to leverage their bets. For some, a strong belief in a certain stock’s direction calls for doubling down bets. For others, leveraging is the price (or the bene t, depending on the angle the investors look) of hedging. Leveraging through derivatives, such as options and futures, is not covered in this principles class. Buying stocks on margin means investing in stocks with borrowed money. We will use the balance sheet of an investor’s brokerage account to explain how margin trading is conducted. 1. Before stock purchase: 2. After stock purchase: 20 5. Stock Trading Basics 3. Calculation of margin (Note that margin can be either the dollar amount or the percentage. Pay attention to the context.) Margin = EquityValue of Stock a) The initial margin Set by the Fed to be 50%. b) The maintenance margin Set by the broker. If the percentage margin falls below this level, the broker will issue a margin call. c) A margin call Additional assets (cash or other securities) are required to be added to the account. Otherwise, the broker will liquidate stocks in the account to restore the percentage margin. 4. An example You purchased 100 shares of IBM stock on margin (50% initial margin). IBM’s stock price is $100 per share at the time you purchase. Suppose your...

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10b5-1 Stock Trading Solution - E*Trade

10b5-1 Stock Trading Solution - E*Tradesuch as home purchases, college education, and retirement planning can be factored into a customized Rule 10b5-1 trading plan. With properly designed and executed plans, executives can take steps toward achieving their financial goals, without being limited by insider trading policies. Automated Trading Platform E * TRADE’s 10b5-1 Stock Trading Solution leverages its automated trading platform so executives can take advantage of additional benefits: square6 Convenience and familiarity using etrade.com for stock plans, trading, investing, banking, or lending services square6 Customization of the plan to include detailed instructions for scheduling sales of company stock square6 Choice and flexibility of reinvestment of proceeds square6 Fast trade execution with competitive pricing square6 Expert assistance available in person or via a dedicated toll-free

number Personal Services and Support for Executives We offer specialized support to manage these complex executive trading plans. E * TRADE’s Wealth Management advisors understand the complex requirements of SEC Rule 10b5-1 and can work closely with you, your legal counsel, and your executives to develop and implement a plan that meets your firm’s objectives as well as those of your individual executives. Furthermore, executives have access to a skilled team of equity compensation professionals who, through a dedicated toll-free number, provide expert handling of transactions to help manage the impact of the stock order. 10b5-1 Stock Trading Solution Comprehensive support for structured trading plans for executives Comprehensive Administration of 10b5-1 Plans square6 Enables insiders to pre-plan transactions of company stock holdings when typically prohibited from trading due to the possession of material, non-public information square6 Provides executives with an affirmative defense to Rule 10b5-1 violations of insider trading square6 Integrated with etrade.com for easy administration square6 Fast insider trade notification to help meet stringent reporting requirements square6 Competitive pricing square6 Large block trade processing square6 Improves perception of corporate officer trading activity square6 Advanced plan management software including agreements, plan administration and transactions square6 Optional advisory services including wealth management for executives Corporate insiders who are routinely in possession of material non-public information must be ever mindful of liability for insider trading violations. Executive trading plans enable insiders to trade shares during corporate blackout periods by providing an affirmative defense to insider trading violations under Rule 10b5-1. At E * TRADE FINANCIAL Corporate Services, we understand the complex SEC rules and regulations and will work closely with you and your legal counsel to implement an integrated 10b5-1 solution that works for you and your executives. Customized, Predetermined Trades Designed to provide insiders with the ability to trade their company stock at regular intervals throughout the year, 10b5-1 trading plans allow insiders and issuers to buy and sell company stock provided the transaction is made as part of a pre-determined, systematic trading plan and certain conditions are met. The plan must: square6 Be made through a third party such as a broker/dealer square6 Be entered into in good faith and not as part of a plan or scheme to evade prohibitions of Rule 10b5-1 square6 Specify the amount, price, and date on which securities are to be purchased or sold square6 Be in writing and serve as a binding contract...

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National Bank Community Development

CD-1 – National Bank Community Development - Office of the ...For Official Use Only Comptroller of the Currency CD-1 – National Bank Community Administrator of National Banks Development (Part 24) Investments OMB Number 1557-0194 A national bank or national bank subsidiary may make an investment directly or in directly d esigned pr imarily to promote the public welfare under the community development investment authority in 12 USC 2 4(Eleventh) and its implementing regulation 12 CF R 24 (Part 24). Part 2 4 contains t he OCC standards for determining whether a n investment is designed to promote th e public welfare and procedures that apply to those investments. National banks must submit the completed form to provide an after-the-fact notice or to request prior approval of a

public welfare investment to the Community Affairs Department, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, W ashington, DC 20219. Please contact the Community Affairs Department at (2 02) 649-6420 or CommunityAffairs@occ.treas.gov for more information. PLEASE PROVIDE THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION ABOUT THE INVESTING BANK. Bank name: Mailing address (street or P.O. box): Bank charter number: City, State, ZIP Code: Telephone number: Fax number: E-mail address: URL: CONTACT FOR INFORMATION: Name of bank contact responsible for form’s information: Name of bank contact responsible for CD investment (if different): Mailing address (street or P.O. box): Mailing address (street or P.O. box): City, State, ZIP Code: City, State, ZIP Code: Telephone number: Telephone number: Fax number: Fax number: E-mail address: E-mail address: PLEASE INDICATE THE PROCESS THE BANK REQUESTS BY CHECKING THE APPROPRIATE BOX, BELOW. After-the-fact notice (12 CFR 24.5(a)) - complete sections 1 and 2. Prior approval (12 CFR 24.5(b)) - complete section 2. CD-1 (Expiration Date: 07/31/2013 ) Form Part 24 Page 2 Section 1 – After-The-Fact Notice Only (12 CFR 24.5(a)) A bank may provide an after-the-fact notice of its Part 24 investment if the bank responds affirmatively to all The bank is “well-capitalized,” as defined in 12 CFR 24.2(i). Yes No The bank has a composite rating of 1 or 2 under the Uniform Financial Institutions Rating System. Yes No The bank’s most recent Community Reinvestment Act rating is satisfactory or outstanding. Yes No The bank is not under a cease and desist order, consent order, formal written agreement, or Prompt Corrective Action directive. Yes No Including this investment, the bank’s aggregate outstanding investments and commitments under Part 24 do not exceed 5 percent of its capital and surplus, unless the OCC has provided written approval of a written request by the bank allowing the bank to provide after-the-fact notices for investments that would raise the aggregate amount of the bank’s Part 24 investments beyond 5 percent of its capital and surplus. Yes No The investment does not involve properties carried on the bank’s books as “other real estate owned.” Yes No The OCC has not determined, in published guidance, that the investment is inappropriate for the after-the-fact notification. Yes No Has the bank responded affirmatively to all of the above requirements in order to provide an after-the-fact notice of its Part 24 investment? [The OCC may have provided written notification that the bank may submit Part 24...

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Universal Banks and Investment Companies in Germany Theodor

1 Universal Banks and Investment Companies in Germany Theodor ...1 Universal Banks and Investment Companies in Germany Theodor Baums I. Introduction II. Banks as shareholders and trustees 1. Separation between shareholders and investors under German law 2. Contractual vs. corporate governance structure 3. Supervis ory boards and banks as trustees 4. Reputation and performance measurement as substitutes? 5. Publicly held funds and the collective action problem III. Affiliated transactions 1. Scope 2. Conflicts of interests and regulatory provisions IV. Other bu siness interests of the parent bank 1. Underwriting and investment policy 2. Shareholdings of banks and investment policy V. Interests of the parent bank’s management 1. Corporate governance in large banks 2. Investment funds and shares in large banks 3. Regulatory reactions VI. Concluding remarks 2 UNIVERSAL BANKS

AND INVESTMENT COMPANIES IN GERMANY Theodor Baums* I. Introduction Universal banking means that banks are permitted to offer all of the various kinds of financial services. This includes classical banking activities like the credit and deposit business, as well as investment services, placement and brokerage of securities, and even insurance activities, trading in real estate and others. German universal banks also hold stock in nonfinancial firms and offer to vote their clients' shares in other firms. 1 This paper deals with universal banks and their role in the investment business, more specifically, their links with investment companies and their various roles as shareholders and providers of financial services to such companies. Banks and investment companies have, as financial intermediaries, one trait in common: they both transform capital of investors (depositors and shareholders of investment funds, respectively) into funds (loans and equity or debt securities, respectively) that are channeled to other firms. So why should a regulation forbid to combine these transformation tasks in one institution or group, and why should the law not allow banks to establish investment companies and provide all kinds of financial services to them in addition to their banking services? German banking and investment company law have answered these questions in the affirmative. This paper argues that the existing regulation is not a sound and recommendable one. The paper is organized as follows: Sections II - V identify four areas where the combination of banking and investment might either harm the shareholders of the investment funds and/or negatively affect other constituencies such as the shareholders of the banking institution. These sections will at the same time explore whether there are institutional or regulatory provisions in place or market forces at work that adequately protect investors and the other constituencies in question. Concluding remarks follow (VI.). 3 II. Banks as Shareholders and Trustees This section deals with the principal-agent relationship between investors and investment companies and the concurrent roles of banks as shareholders in investment companies and as trustees of the investors under German law. 1. The separation between shareholders and investors under German law One basic structural difference between a mutual fund under the U.S. Investment Company Act of 1940 and an investment company under German law is crucial for understanding of the role of the banks both as shareholders and providers of various kinds of services to investment companies: contrary to a U.S.-style mutual fund,...

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Investment in Subsidiaries and Equities

Investment in Subsidiaries and Equities - Office of the Comptroller of ...Investment in Subsidiaries and Equities Comptroller's Licensing Manual Washington, DC July 2008 Investment in Subsidiaries and Equities Table of Contents Introduction.............................................................................................................1 Key Policies.............................................................................................................1 Applications and Notices..............................................................................1 Special Conditions........................................................................................2 Undercapitalized Banks................................................................................2 Publication ...................................................................................................3 Consolidated Financial Statements................................................................3 Multiple Transactions ...................................................................................3 Mergers and Acquisitions..............................................................................3 Offshore Subsidiaries....................................................................................4 Examination and Supervision........................................................................5 Operating Subsidiaries.............................................................................................5 Ownership....................................................................................................6 Partnership or Joint Venture..........................................................................6 Noncontrolling Interest.................................................................................6 Decision Criteria...........................................................................................7 Filing Process................................................................................................7 After-the-Fact Notice..........................................................................8 Standard Review............................................................................. 10 Specific Requirements ............................................................................... 11 Insurance........................................................................................ 11 Electronic Activities ........................................................................ 12 Fiduciary Powers ............................................................................ 12 Locations ................................................................................................... 13 Annual Reporting Requirement.................................................................. 13 Applicability of Law................................................................................... 13 Holding Company Dissolution .................................................................. 14 Financial Subsidiaries ........................................................................................... 14 Qualifications ............................................................................................ 14 Activities.................................................................................................... 15 Exceptions ................................................................................................. 16 Safeguards ................................................................................................. 16 Filing Process............................................................................................. 17 Certification with Subsequent Notice.............................................. 17 Combined Certification and

Notice................................................. 18 Failure to Continue to Meet Qualifications ................................................ 18 Bank Service Company......................................................................................... 19 Filing Process............................................................................................. 20 Decision Criteria........................................................................................ 20 After-the-Fact Notice.................................................................................. 20 No Filing Required .................................................................................... 21 Other Equity Investments...................................................................................... 21 Statutory Subsidiaries................................................................................. 22 Noncontrolling Investments....................................................................... 23 i Procedures............................................................................................................ 25 Operating Subsidiary and Bank Service Company – After-the-Fact Notice ................................................................................................. 25 Operating Subsidiary and Bank Service Company – Application ............... 27 Financial Subsidiary – Certification............................................................ 32 Financial Subsidiary – Notice .................................................................... 34 Financial Subsidiary -- Combined Certification and Notice ........................ 36 Noncontrolling Investments -- After-the-Fact Notice................................... 39 Appendix A -- Operating Subsidiary Guidelines.................................................... 42 Appendix B -- Noncontrolling Investment Guidelines........................................... 71 Glossary .............................................................................................................. 83 References............................................................................................................ 85 ii Investment in Subsidiaries and Equities Introduction Banks develop, and offer through various subsidiaries and other business entities, a wide range of products and services designed to increase profitability, improve service to customers, and respond to technological innovations and competition. These subsidiaries and other business entities include operating subsidiaries, financial subsidiaries, bank service companies, and noncontrolling interests in business entities performing bank permissible activities (subsidiaries or noncontrolling investments). This booklet describes various types of subsidiaries or noncontrolling investments that banks can establish and provides detailed guidance on permissible and incidental activities. The Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has created procedures and conditions for the establishment and operations of subsidiaries or noncontrolling investments. This booklet outlines these procedures and conditions. To establish a subsidiary or make a noncontrolling investment, the OCC generally requires banks to submit an application and obtain prior approval. In some cases, banks can submit to the OCC an after-the-fact notice, when establishing or commencing new activities in subsidiaries or noncontrolling investments. This booklet contains policies and procedures to guide banks in filing these applications and notices and outlines exceptions to these requirements. It also provides information on the regulatory and statutory factors the OCC considers in making a decision; the application process (including the prefiling process, filing the application, and processing time frames); application issues; specific requirements for insurance, electronic, and fiduciary activities; and the post approval process. This booklet also provides a step-by-step procedures section for the applicant and the OCC to follow and a glossary of terms used. Throughout this booklet there are hyperlinks to filing samples and other booklets in the Comptroller’s Licensing Manual series, as well as other information applicants may use to file to establish various subsidiaries or noncontrolling investments. Key Policies Applications and Notices...

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